An update to the forecast includes some severe weather mainly in the form of damaging winds and hail tonight across far N OK and over C and E OK Friday afternoon and evening. A freak tornado could occur along an outflow boundary that will drape from C to E OK late Friday afternoon/evening.
Otherwise beneficial rain is the focus for this event. Widespread 1-2″ totals through Sunday still look likely with a few remote areas picking up as much as 4″.
Synopsis: A cold front will work slowly through the state. Storms are triggered in Kansas this afternoon and those move south into OK late day/evening. The storms will affect mainly N/NE OK falling apart as they approach the OKC metro. Some rain should occur in town but again most of it to the north.
Any lingering showers wrap up early Friday morning. An outflow boundary from that round of rain will stretch from C to E OK during the day. With daytime heating additional storms will form and those will drift slowly south and east. That round of rain wraps up by Saturday morning.
Most of Saturday looks dry across the state at this time. Next round forms late Saturday evening and ends Sunday morning. Right now mixed signals are indicating it could either be dry for the remainder of Sunday or additional showers late Sunday afternoon. Have a backup plan in place either way.
Temperatures during the weekend will be in the 80s as the map indicates. A few areas may be in the upper 70s for awhile where cloud cover is maximized and with any rain around.
For fun, here is a long range model that takes us through all of next week as far as rain totals are concerned. It seems to think that Edmond will get 10″ of rain. This won’t pan out, but it is nice to see the model being wet for a change.
A final note about the 4th of July. Dry for most, hot and humid. Temperatures will hover around 90 or so. A few showers or storms may develop along a weak cold front boundary across the N OK counties by late day, roughly from a line near Tulsa due west to the TX border.
That’s the latest on the weather. Please share and enjoy the weekend! -AT