Another complex of storms will move into W OK this evening and overnight but weaken as it travels east. Heavy rain will be the main impact. Please always be aware of flash flooding in these situations.

Then our attention turns to Tuesday afternoon. A dryline will move into C OK and there is plenty of instability to produce severe weather. Although I can’t rule out an isolated tornado late evening, the main threat will be hail and wind especially between the hours of 4-7pm as the cloud bases are fairly high. I’ve posted a few computer models below showing storms going up by 7pm. Don’t focus so much on a particular area, as just know that several models break the CAP as temperatures soar into the mid to upper 90s. The best location to see severe storms will most likely be in NNE OK and across SC OK but the OKC metro could easily see a storm move through.

hires_ref_okc_32 wrf_ref_arw_okc_37 wrf_ref_nmm_okc_37

An additional storm or two will fire Wednesday afternoon along about the same region. After that it gets quiet and hot for awhile.

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