The Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk of severe weather here in C and E OK. The main threat will be large hail up to tennis ball size. Storms should develop around 4pm near the KS border and build southward towards OKC by 6pm. All storms should die out shortly after sunset.

Severe Weather Outlook

Storms should backbuild along a cold front in NE OK, just NW of Tulsa, down into the E side of the OKC metro. A couple of storms may form south of that, but conditions aren’t as favorable due to a stronger CAP in place. The dewpoint map shows dry air surges into the SW side of the OKC metro that helps to fire most of the storms east of the area.

Storms developing late afternoon.

Dewpoints with dry air surging in from SW OK into SC OK.

Anolog guidance indicates although there is about a 40% probability of seeing 1 tornado, there are better probabilities of seeing multiple reports of hail for this event.

Probability of seeing 1 tornado out of this event.

Probability of seeing 10 hail reports.

Tune into my AT’s Weather Live tonight and Monday at noon for the latest update to see if anything changes with this outlook. -AT

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