A few interesting things have shown up in the weather to discuss. Rain returns, the drought expands, and a potential hurricane may move into Oklahoma.

First things first, look for upper level energy to ride the top of the ridge in the jet stream and spawn scattered showers and storms. These storms may produce large hail and damaging wind. They should develop by late Thursday afternoon and travel south.

Upper level pattern with energy moving in Thursday.

Storms developing Thursday afternoon.

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The upper level ridge will start building back overhead for our weekend. The upper pattern shows at the same time this is occuring, Cristobal will approach Louisiana Sunday night as a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane. The upper ridge will tend to steer the storm to the northwest a bit. If the influence from the west coast trough isn’t too strong, this could allow Cristobal to move into the E half of OK by Monday and Tuesday bringing some rain with it. Time will tell.

Upper pattern Sunday steering Cristobal NW.

Cristobal Sunday Night

Speaking of Cristobal, it is currently a tropical storm anchored across the shoreline of Mexico.

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Current radar image this evening of Cristobal.

The National Hurricane Center has the track moving northward soon. This official track will change daily as adjustments are made, especially in the long-range.

NHC track of the storm.

Center Phase Energy

While all of this is occuring, the drought continues to develop. With our rainy season getting cut short this Spring, it’s not looking good at keeping this under control. Time will tell and I’ll have a more extended outlook regarding this issue later. -AT

Developing drought.

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