Absolutely way too much to talk about, so I’ll try to be as brief as possible in this summary.

Rain moves through tonight and transitions to a little freezing rain/sleet then snow across the I-44 corridor Wednesday morning. This has the potential to be a sleeper event with areas receiving 2-7″ of snow. Some of this will melt of course as ground temperatures are still warm and our surface temperature will hover between 32-34 degrees. The precipitation will wrap up by the afternoon.

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Rainfall (liquid equivalent) on Wed.

Thin band of snow on Wed.

Potential snow totals Wed.

Then the main upper low will kick out of Texas and into OK Thursday night. The track can still change a bit due to the lack of upper air analysis in the northern Mexico region where it is forming. That means the best forecast data input to the models won’t occur until Thursday morning. It is what it is. For now I have a pretty good idea on how things will go.

By late Thursday afternoon rain will push north out of Texas into S OK and continue moving northward into air that is at or below freezing. This will create freezing rain and sleet. Far W/NW OK should be cold enough for mainly all snow. C OK will have a mix of rain, freezing rain, sleet, and snow. There will be a dramatic line in the sand cutting this area in half. It’s conceivable OK county gets a cold rain and Canadian county picks up 7″ of snow. That’s just one example. Some best guess estimates are below. In addition to the snow, wind gusts in excess of 50 mph will occur leading to blizzard conditions Thursday night and Friday.

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Freezing rain moving through Thursday evening.

Wind Gusts Thursday Night.

Overall snow totals from both days combined.

Freezing rain totals.

The forecast discussion replay can be watched below:

I’ll go live again around lunchtime Wednesday and in the evening around 9pm. Join me then for the latest! -AT

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