Severe storms have retuned to the state as our mini severe weather season continues. Sunday evening storms erupted across E OK and moved through MO and AR. Another round will return Tuesday night and Wednesday. After that, a big surge of cold air will arrive around the 1st of November with the potential for snow in Oklahoma.

The storms Tuesday are coming in late as the storm system isn’t timed right. This could either mean just a late evening show out west that dies off, or one that hangs on longer overnight. There’s a pretty decent CAP in place, so check back with me on my latest social media posts for the breakdown on specifics. The Jetstream shows the center of the upper low across E OK Wednesday afternoon. This typically places far E OK and AR and MO back into the crosshairs for severe storms like on Sunday.

Severe weather threat Tuesday evening/night.

Severe storms develop late Tuesday.

Jetstream favorable for storms out east Wednesday afternoon/evening.

Center Phase Energy

Rainfall amounts should be decent with the Tue/Wed event.

Potential rainfall amounts this week.

All eyes then turn to a pattern change in the Jet which places us in a NW flow aloft driving a very cold airmass into the S Plains. At the same time an upper low will hanging across the SW. This is a classic setup for wintry trouble IF the upper low moves east towards OK. If it stays put, it won’t be that big of a deal come early November. I’ll update you on this outcome.

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Jetstream early November.

Cold shot of below normal temperatures.

Potential wintry mix 2nd of November.

Other than that, temperatures will start cooling down. There is some play in these numbers around the 1st-4th. Could be colder with the snow option on the table.Β 

OKC Temperature Trend.

Center Phase Energy

Remember to download my free weather app, ATsWeatherToGo, that does a great job at predicting tornadoes. Tell your friends and family in Arkansas and Missouri especially! -AT

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