The forecast remains largely unchanged and a threat for a couple of tornadoes continues late afternoon/evening across parts of Oklahoma.

The most likely area to see tornadoes will be in the circled regions shown below.

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stp-us_sc

The area to the north will fire off storms much easier due to adequate dynamics, and even though wind shear is a little less favorable than in central OK, a tornado is likely just because storms are more certain to form.

Whereas the conditional setup along the dryline, which would place tornadic storms in C OK, has become increasingly more likely with the hires short term models now catching on this morning. Various models are shown below showing a supercell or two rolling through between 6-8pm over the greater OKC metro area.

hires_ref_okc_14 hrrr_ref_okc_10 refcmp_uh001h-us_sc wrf_ref_nmm_okc_26

So the bottom line is to expect a couple of severe storms today in both C OK and N OK. The threat will include large hail, damaging winds, and a couple of tornadoes. Stay weather aware and have my app enabled with the SAF-T-Net function turned on so you get an early warning if anything were to occur in your area. Don’t panic, just have a plan in place and you’ll be fine. Should tornadoes occur, I’ll stream live severe weather coverage through my app and website. Just tap the live stream feed. -AT

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