Two active severe weather days last week yields a mostly quiet week ahead when it comes to severe storms. Tuesday will have the best opportunity out across W OK from the TX Panhandle storms. The threat would be for a little wind and hail late day. Other than that, the SPC Outlook is quiet.

SPC outlook

We did get some much beneficial rain however and when we add up for the year thus far, parts of E OK is doing great with too much of a good thing, while W OK still needs it desperately. 

Rainfall compared to average this year.

The reason for the lull in our severe weather is due to the Jetstream. We are sandwiched between a ridge of high pressure to the east and a trough of low pressure to the west. This places the track of the upper energy and strong winds out to the west. This also helps kick up the fire danger due to the drought and the heat as well.

Upper level pattern

Current drought.

High fire danger out west.

Heat on Monday.

Heat by Friday.

Heat tips.

Radar animation (tap to play) shows a few opportunities for storms. The main one being late Tuesday out West and then again late Friday across N/NE OK with a weak cold front. Another front will clear things out on Saturday. Winds will be ridiculous per usual across the state until the end of the week. Early rainfall estimates are shown.

Rain animation (tap to play) for the week

Estimated rain totals for the week.

Other than that, temperatures will be toasty for awhile and relax a bit heading into the following week. We need more rain to hold back the early Summer heat. That’s all for now, stay cool and hydrated! -AT

Extended outlook.

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