Hi-res models suggest just a couple of storms will fire along the dryline late this afternoon out west and drift NE before falling apart after dark.These would have the ability to produce large hail, damaging wind and an isolated tornado.
HRRR model indicating a couple of storms firing out west by 6pm.
HRRR instability and shear mostly west of I-35 today.
Other clusters of showers and embedded storms will continue across the SE quadrant of OK this afternoon and tonight. Some of those could be severe with hail and wind. Additional showers and storms will roll through Tuesday morning and afternoon. Some severe is possible with those as well, mostly hail/wind.
More rain can be expected on Wednesday, but no severe weather.
The tornado threat is low during this Mon/Tue event but not zero. Always have a plan in place, it’s Oklahoma, and it’s our Spring severe weather season. Stay safe and download my app now if you haven’t done so already and setup the SAF-T-Net feature the minute you do.